Kevin's NFL Picks, 2008 Season Week 6

Amazingly, despite my hellish Friday night (post coming soon), I got these in a full 24 hours before games start!

LOCK

Baltimore +4 at INDIANAPOLIS (O/U: 38.5)

With the miracles the Colts have needed to notch their two wins, there's good reason to believe the Ravens will win this one outright.

HIGH FIVE

WASHINGTON -13.5 vs. St. Louis (O/U: 44)
The Rams have lost games this year by (in order) 35, 28, 24 and 17. So they are getting closer to covering these huge spreads. Still, they're on the road against a very good team.

ARIZONA +5 vs. Dallas (O/U: 51)
The Cardinals play much better in the Pacific time zone, enough to take the points and forget about it.

New York Giants -9 at CLEVELAND (O/U: 43.5)
It's hard not to believe in the Giants, and the Browns may be without leading receiver Kellen Winslow.

Cincinnati +8.5 at NEW YORK JETS (O/U: 42.5)
The Bungles are back, but they're more competitive on the road.

Miami +3 at HOUSTON (O/U: 44.5)
Sorry, Texans fans, the misery continues.

WILD CARD

Philadelphia -4.5 at SAN FRANCISCO (O/U: 42.5)
Something tells me the Eagles cover this one, but it's tough to lay points on the road.

STAY AWAY

Oakland +7 at NEW ORLEANS (O/U: 47.5)
The Raiders have been surprisingly competitive, but who knows how the will react to a new coach.

Jacksonville +3.5 at DENVER (O/U: 48)
Last week, the Broncos were laying 3.5 against a mediocre Florida team, and they allowed a garbage-time touchdown that made them lose by a hook.

Detroit +13 at MINNESOTA (O/U: 45.5)
The only question is whether the Vikings can score enough to cover, but that's a really good question.

THE REST

Carolina +1.5 at TAMPA BAY (O/U: 36.5)
This will go a long way toward determining top dog in the NFC South, which should be the Panthers, although they are actually cats, so that's a point against, on top of which you really want to be careful about taking road teams in divisional games.

Chicago -3 at ATLANTA (O/U: 43.5)
As good as the Bears have looked lately, the Falcons are too hard to read to make a call here.

Green Bay -1 at SEATTLE (O/U: 45)
Raise your hand if you actually care about this game. Yeah, that's what I thought.

New England +5 at SAN DIEGO (O/U: 44)
I kind of like the Patriots here, but the last time I went against the Chargers as home chalk I got schooled.

RECORDS Last week (season)
Overall includes lock and high five picks -- I track my wild card picks for fun but claim no accountability for them.

OVERALL: 4-2 (13-11)
Lock: 0-1 (2-2)
High 5: 4-1 (11-9)

Wild Card: 0-1 (1-3)